Natures Sunshine Products Stock Performance

NATR Stock  USD 26.91  0.41  1.55%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Natures Sunshine holds a performance score of 15. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.19, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Natures Sunshine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Natures Sunshine is likely to outperform the market. Please check Natures Sunshine's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Natures Sunshine's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Natures Sunshine Products are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively uncertain basic indicators, Natures Sunshine reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow82.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-11 M

Natures Sunshine Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,053  in Natures Sunshine Products on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  638.00  from holding Natures Sunshine Products or generate 31.08% return on investment over 90 days. Natures Sunshine Products is currently generating 0.4634% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.3058% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Natures, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Natures Sunshine is expected to generate 3.02 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Natures Sunshine Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Natures Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.91 90 days 26.91 
roughly 2.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Natures Sunshine to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.14 (This Natures Sunshine Products probability density function shows the probability of Natures Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Natures Sunshine Products has a beta of -0.19. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Natures Sunshine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Natures Sunshine Products is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Natures Sunshine Products has an alpha of 0.4645, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Natures Sunshine Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Natures Sunshine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natures Sunshine Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natures Sunshine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4026.7129.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.7326.0428.35
Details

Natures Sunshine Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Natures Sunshine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Natures Sunshine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Natures Sunshine Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Natures Sunshine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Natures Sunshine Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Natures Sunshine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Natures Sunshine Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Natures Sunshine has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Natures Sunshine Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Natures Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Natures Sunshine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natures Sunshine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments84.7 M

Natures Sunshine Fundamentals Growth

Natures Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Natures Sunshine, and Natures Sunshine fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Natures Stock performance.

About Natures Sunshine Performance

Assessing Natures Sunshine's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Natures Sunshine's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Natures Sunshine is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Natures Sunshine Products, Inc., a natural health and wellness company, primarily manufactures and sells nutritional and personal care products in Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and internationally. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Lehi, Utah. Nature S operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 850 people.

Things to note about Natures Sunshine Products performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Natures Sunshine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Natures Sunshine Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Natures Sunshine has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Natures Sunshine's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Natures Sunshine's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Natures Sunshine's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Natures Sunshine's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Natures Sunshine's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Natures Sunshine's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Natures Sunshine's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Natures Sunshine's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Natures Sunshine's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Natures Sunshine's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Natures Sunshine's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Natures Stock Analysis

When running Natures Sunshine's price analysis, check to measure Natures Sunshine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natures Sunshine is operating at the current time. Most of Natures Sunshine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natures Sunshine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natures Sunshine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natures Sunshine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.